Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.927248 3.490228 4.102088 4.812816 5.611939 6.479011 7.487172
2026-01-04 2.301560 3.080610 3.997710 5.141742 6.514824 8.094145 10.031574
2026-01-11 1.836358 2.743798 3.893884 5.421610 7.359097 9.695801 12.685737
2026-01-18 1.408081 2.355302 3.647472 5.469925 7.901066 10.959225 15.017356
2026-01-25 1.030964 1.946328 3.294299 5.312201 8.137823 11.834210 16.904022
2026-02-01 0.763049 1.630343 3.008010 5.190225 8.384632 12.711776 18.819900
2026-02-08 0.566063 1.374721 2.760354 5.077372 8.611787 13.553060 20.708400
2026-02-15 0.427674 1.182103 2.574002 5.022658 8.900393 14.475798 22.731261
2026-02-22 0.360711 1.109678 2.575813 5.258295 9.627927 16.042235 25.695376
2026-03-01 0.280708 0.982547 2.454769 5.270415 10.001985 17.105573 27.983616
2026-03-08 0.191735 0.797302 2.185134 4.988074 9.877139 17.413622 29.189391
2026-03-15 0.132361 0.659393 1.978815 4.786105 9.855180 17.859279 30.593763
2026-03-22 0.113084 0.634845 2.016315 5.050920 10.645184 19.604694 34.010310
2026-03-29 0.101470 0.631348 2.101412 5.415647 11.627818 21.689577 38.002478
2026-04-05 0.088255 0.615744 2.154883 5.721375 12.523085 23.668410 41.892684
2026-04-12 0.067598 0.557362 2.091100 5.780630 12.982276 24.966221 44.782878
2026-04-19 0.045238 0.470702 1.932889 5.621472 13.031965 25.598489 46.663377
2026-04-26 0.029924 0.400630 1.800098 5.497292 13.131233 26.307257 48.673973
2026-05-03 0.019214 0.340918 1.679276 5.381284 13.231473 27.012134 50.687054
2026-05-10 0.012430 0.295850 1.590028 5.325213 13.438979 27.899400 53.006922
2026-05-17 0.010215 0.288518 1.625457 5.572004 14.253483 29.847207 57.070440
2026-05-24 0.006713 0.257558 1.569004 5.585062 14.599880 30.995403 59.866603
2026-05-31 0.002975 0.202386 1.400726 5.290339 14.299387 30.999925 60.796077